Now we get to Week 2 with more information, more real usage to evaluate, and a better understanding of what these teams actually are. That matters. We are starting to see which offenses are legitimate, which preseason assumptions were wrong, and where the market may still be playing catch-up.

We are sitting at 58.8% for the season, so the goal now is simple: stay disciplined, keep attacking good numbers, and build on the momentum from Week 1.

Five Best Bets ATS

Alabama @ Kentucky Over 49.5 Points

I like the over here because I think both offenses can contribute.

Kentucky handled Youngstown State 45-13 in Week 1, but there were still some warning signs on defense. Youngstown threw for 243 yards, moved the chains 20 times and converted 8-of-15 third downs. The Wildcats completely shut down the run, but their secondary gave up enough through the air to make me interested in this spot. That matters because Alabama should be aggressive with Keelon Russell in his first road start. I think Russell has a chance to really announce himself here. Kentucky’s defense has some talent, but there are still a lot of new pieces and a new coordinator in Jay Bateman. If Alabama can create some explosive plays in the passing game, I would not be surprised to see Russell push toward 300 yards while the Tide offense gets into the 30s. I also think Alabama’s running game will have success. EJ Crowell flashed in limited work last week, and the Tide should have multiple ways to attack this defense.

The other reason I like the over is that I think Kentucky can score too. Alabama’s secondary is talented, but it is aggressive. They take chances, and that can create opportunities for big plays if Kentucky can protect long enough to hit them. I do not need the Wildcats to light up the scoreboard. Give me something in the 17-to-24 point range, and Alabama should be able to do the rest. A 35-20 or 38-21 type of game gets us there comfortably.

Best Bet: Alabama at Kentucky Over 49.5

Dear Readers,

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Here is what you can expect from The Devy Royale throughout the season.

Sunday: C2C Waiver Adds

Matty will be kicking off every Sunday with our Campus to Canton waiver wire adds, highlighting the players you should be targeting before your league catches up. C2C moves quickly, especially once college football starts giving us real information. Breakouts happen fast, depth charts change, and freshmen emerge seemingly overnight. Matty will help sort through the noise and identify the players worth adding to your C2C rosters.

Sunday: The Sunday Fantasy Brief

Sunday mornings are chaotic enough already.

The Sunday Fantasy Brief is designed to be a quick final check before NFL lineups lock.

We’ll cover:

• Late injury news

• Weather concerns

• Important inactive news

• Lineup situations that have changed

• Actionable start/sit takeaways

No 3,000-word breakdowns. Just the information that actually matters before kickoff.

Monday: Beat the Waiver Wire

Everyone talks about waivers on Tuesday. We want to get there first. Every Monday, Beat the Waiver Wire will highlight five priority pickups, speculative adds, and stashes you should consider making before your league reacts. Some will be obvious breakout players. Others will be players whose opportunity is about to change before the box score tells everyone else. The goal is simple: stay one move ahead of your league.

Tuesday: The TDR Market Report

This might be the article that best represents everything we do at TDR. Each Tuesday, the TDR Market Report will focus on important developments from the previous week and explain what they actually mean for fantasy football. And we won’t look at them through just one lens. We’ll break down the impact across:

Redraft. Dynasty. Devy. Campus to Canton. CFF.

A player breaking out on Saturday could change his CFF value immediately, his C2C outlook dramatically, his devy ranking slightly, and eventually his NFL Draft stock. That context matters. The Market Report will help connect those dots.

Thursday: Christian’s Draft Article

By the middle of the season, NFL Draft boards start changing quickly. Every Thursday, Christian will dive into the prospect side of things with weekly evaluations, draft-stock updates, and emerging players you need to know. Some weeks that could mean breaking down a major quarterback performance. Other weeks it could be identifying a prospect whose NFL Draft stock is beginning to rise before the broader consensus catches up. If you follow our devy rankings or NFL Draft coverage, this will be one of the most important weekly pieces of the season.

Saturday: Saturday Morning Best Bets

Saturday mornings are for football.

Every week, Saturday Morning Best Bets will feature:

Five games against the spread.
Three player props.

That’s it. We’ll break down the matchups, explain where we think the market might be wrong, and give you our favorite bets from the weekend slate. Quick. Actionable. And hopefully profitable.

And That Won’t Be Everything

This schedule gives us a weekly foundation, but it won’t be the only content you see from us. Football seasons are unpredictable. There will be breakout performances that deserve deeper dives. Dynasty values that suddenly change. Major injuries. NFL Draft risers. Devy ranking debates. Trade discussions. Big Board updates. Prospect profiles. Strategy pieces. And probably a few things we haven’t even thought of yet.

When something deserves its own article, we’ll write it. The weekly schedule gives you something consistent to expect while still giving us room to react to everything happening throughout the football season.

Want Everything TDR Has to Offer?

Our Substack will continue to be a major part of what we do, but if you want the complete TDR experience, you can join us on the website with All Access.

That includes not only our articles, but also:

Our rankings.
Our fantasy and prospect tools.
Our data and resources.
Our premium website features.
And everything else we continue to build throughout the season.

Whether you’re playing dynasty, devy, C2C, CFF, redraft, or following the NFL Draft, the goal is to give you everything you need in one place.

Football season moves fast. We plan on moving with it. Welcome to the season.

Dear Readers,

If you’re looking to get a real head start in your dynasty, devy, or C2C leagues, consider joining either our Substack or the website. Both provide actionable, edge-driven content built to help you stay ahead of the field.

Substack is our most affordable option at just $7/month and gives you access to all of our written content.

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For this episode, we focus on Christian’s rankings at both cornerback and safety, looking at the prospects he currently has at the top of each position. At corner, Leonard Moore leads the way after an outstanding 2025 season, with players like Zabien Brown, Kelley Jones, Ashton Hampton, and Ellis Robinson IV rounding out the group. At safety, KJ Bolden sits at the top, followed by Brauntae Johnson, Adon Shuler, Ty Benefield, and Bray Hubbard.

There are a lot of different profiles within these rankings. Some players bring high-end coverage ability and true shutdown potential, while others stand out because of their size, physicality, versatility, instincts, or ability to create turnovers. The safety group also features several players who can impact the game in multiple ways, whether that is playing deep, working in the slot, supporting the run, or making plays on the football.

This episode is about more than just the rankings. We look at the 2025 PFF grades, coverage production, tackles, interceptions, pass breakups, physical profiles, and overall projection for each prospect. We also discuss what each player needs to show in 2026 to continue climbing the board.

If you are already looking ahead to the 2027 NFL Draft or just want to get familiar with the next wave of defensive backs, this episode is your starting point for the 2027 secondary class.

If you want to go even deeper, everything we do lives on the site: rankings, ADP, tools, guides, articles, and much more at The Devy Royale. That’s the full TDR ecosystem.

The Devy Royale Website

And if you want access to everything we’re building, live shows, rankings updates, articles, Discord access, and direct interaction with us, consider subscribing right here on Substack and becoming part of the TDR community.

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That doesn’t mean we should overreact to one game. A touchdown can hide bad usage just as easily as a quiet box score can hide an encouraging role. But for certain players, the pressure is a little higher entering the season. Their dynasty value is being held up by expectations that now need some actual evidence behind them. Maybe it’s a young quarterback who needs to take a legitimate step forward. Maybe it’s a Year 2 receiver we’ve spent all summer projecting as a breakout. Maybe it’s a veteran running back trying to hold off the age cliff, or a rookie whose Week 1 role could immediately change how we view his value.

Those are the players I want to focus on here. These aren’t necessarily players I’m buying or selling right now. They’re the ten dynasty pressure points I’ll be watching most closely in Week 1, and what could cause their stock to move once we finally have real football to evaluate.

The Young QB Who Has to Take the Leap: Cam Ward, QB20

Cam Ward is one of the more interesting pressure points entering Week 1 because I’m not ready to give up on him, but we’re getting to the point where the flashes need to turn into actual production. His rookie year was rough. Ward finished as the QB33 in fantasy points per game and produced just one QB1 week all season. At the same time, I’m willing to give him some grace for the situation he walked into. Tennessee gave him very little to work with, and Calvin Ridley was essentially the only proven option in the passing game before injuries limited him to seven games.

There were some signs of life late. Ward closed last season with four straight multi-touchdown passing games after failing to record one earlier in the year. The underlying numbers still weren’t particularly impressive, though. From Weeks 12-18, Ward ranked 15th in adjusted completion rate, 22nd in highly accurate throw rate, 26th in catchable target rate, and 23rd in hero throw rate among 30 qualifying quarterbacks, according to Fantasy Points Data.

That’s why 2026 matters so much. The Titans made a real effort to improve the environment around him. Brian Daboll comes in with a strong track record working with quarterbacks, and Tennessee added Wan’Dale Robinson and Carnell Tate to give Ward a much more functional group of weapons. I have a lot of respect for Daboll’s work developing quarterbacks, and this should be the best offensive infrastructure Ward has had since entering the league. But at QB20 in dynasty, we can’t keep valuing Ward entirely on being young and being a former No. 1 overall pick. There’s a little bit of a Bryce Young-type concern here. Ward could legitimately improve as an NFL quarterback this season without becoming significantly more valuable for fantasy. If the passing efficiency gets better but the volume, rushing production, and weekly ceiling remain mediocre, general development might not translate into the dynasty jump managers are hoping for.

That makes Week 1 against the Jets interesting. On paper, this looks like the kind of matchup where you’d like to see Ward take advantage, especially against a defense that failed to record an interception last season. But Tennessee enters the game favored, and I’m not convinced this is necessarily the type of game script that creates a huge fantasy performance for him. I’m less concerned with whether Ward finishes as a QB1 this week and more interested in how he looks doing it. Is the accuracy cleaner? Is he creating explosive plays? Does this passing game look noticeably more functional? Can Daboll put him in easier situations? Ward doesn’t need to prove everything in Week 1. But after a disappointing rookie season, the runway of simply saying “he’s young, give him time” is starting to shorten.

What I’m Watching: Efficiency, explosive passing plays, and whether the upgraded supporting cast actually raises Ward’s weekly ceiling.

Stock Impact: A strong start would go a long way toward validating Ward’s QB20 dynasty price. Another season of mediocre fantasy production, even with improved real-life quarterback play, could leave him stuck in that uncomfortable QB2 range where the upside sounds better than the weekly results.

Dear Readers,

If you’re looking to get a real head start in your dynasty, devy, or C2C leagues, consider joining either our Substack or the website. Both provide actionable, edge-driven content built to help you stay ahead of the field.

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We’ll Need All Data Points to Accurately Assess This QB Class

The quarterback class shined in Week 1, but there’s a caveat. Players who were on the radar, but maybe not discussed with the top tier, dominated. Darian Mensah’s performance on Friday night against a terrible Stanford team was impressive. Poise, accuracy, and understanding of the offense were on full display. Mensah’s arm isn’t the strongest, but it won’t matter if he plays as cerebral as he did on Friday. Mensah finished 27/30 for 400 yards and five touchdowns. PFF credited him with three big-time throws.

Josh Hoover, a personal favorite of mine throughout summer scouting, debuted a new, turnover-less version of himself on Saturday. After moving from TCU to Indiana this offseason, Hoover’s focus was strictly on taking care of the football. Curt Cignetti won’t tolerate stupid mistakes, and Hoover did a great job in the Hoosiers’ opener this weekend. He finished 13/16 for 231 yards and four touchdowns. He was precise, flashed all the arm talent that makes me excited about him, and looked for wideouts Charlie Becker and Nick Marsh regularly.

Ohio State’s Julian Sayin also dominated this weekend, with precision and accuracy that matched Mensah’s. Sayin finished 21/25 for 320 yards and three touchdowns. We didn’t get any new information on the Buckeye, as Ball State only pressured Sayin four times in the game. Sayin was 2/2 for 28 yards against pressure.

Jayden Maiava continued to dominate after an impressive performance in Week 0, finishing 23/25 for 349 yards and three touchdowns. Maiava remains a challenging evaluation, as Lincoln Riley is still doing fake stuff that makes it hard to determine what Maiava can do as a processor. The best evidence that Maiava knows what he’s looking at came in Week 0, when he quickly went through a full field read and fired the ball off before his eyes even made it to the running back down the right sideline. It was an impressive throw, but much of Maiava’s success has come on college-level concepts, and I still question his ability to throw NFL concepts.

LaNorris Sellers looked comfortable in South Carolina’s new offense, finishing 19/23 for 270 yards and three touchdowns. Most notably, he was getting the ball out quickly and with confidence. His time to throw has been over three seconds throughout his career. In Week 1, his time to throw was down to 2.32, and despite facing six pressures, he only took one sack. He was 4/5 for 119 yards and two touchdowns under pressure, something that he’ll have to continue doing with the South Carolina offensive line.

It Wasn’t All Sunshine and Rainbows, Though…

Arch Manning is the “prize” of the class, according to most NFL Draft analysts.

Dear Readers,

If you’re looking to get a real head start in your dynasty, devy, or C2C leagues, consider joining either our Substack or the website. Both provide actionable, edge-driven content built to help you stay ahead of the field.

Substack is our most affordable option at just $7/month and gives you access to all of our written content.

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So that’s really what we’re looking for with this list. We’re not going to give you a bunch of guys who were already drafted in every league. We want the guys who are probably still sitting there on your waiver wire that made us stop and pay attention in Week 1.

Some of these guys absolutely went off. Some guys got way more involved than we expected. And some are just guys where I look at the situation and think, Yeah, we are taking a shot on this dude. Obviously, it’s only Week 1, so we’re not going to act like we know exactly how every single one of these guys is going to turn out. It’s college football, things change FAST but that’s also why I love the waiver wire this early in the season. We went through the games, found the guys we like, and now we’re going to tell you who we’re actually trying to add this week.

Quarterbacks

Matthew: Braden Atkinson (Oregon State)

Roster Percentage: 5%

Atkinson might have been the only bright spot for Oregon State on the day, and honestly, I thought he looked pretty damn good. He was delivering passes on time all game and looked like a legit quarterback. The dude has a cannon for an arm but his receivers didn’t exactly help him out with all the drops, so his numbers honestly could’ve been even better.

He finished with 29 completions for 376 yards and a touchdown, which was good for 23.94 fantasy points. I’ve already written about Atkinson before, and this game was basically everything I wanted to see from him. He’s still young, has the arm talent, makes throws on time, and looks comfortable running the offense. I’m still waiting for conference play before I get too carried away, but I really like where this is going. He’s looking like everything I want in a QB, and the fact that he’s still young makes me want to add him now.

Kevin: Isaiah Marshall (Kansas)

Rostered: 5%

Marshall is one of the easier quarterback adds for me this week, especially in deeper C2C formats. He finished his first start at Kansas completing 14 of 19 passes for 246 yards and two touchdowns while adding another 49 yards on seven carries.

Obviously, we need to acknowledge the opponent here. LIU isn’t going to tell us everything we need to know about Marshall, and things get much tougher against Missouri next week. But the usage is what caught my attention.

Marshall wasn’t just sitting in the pocket and compiling numbers against an overmatched defense. Kansas used him on the ground, he showed the ability to create explosive plays through the air, and this offense still finished with over 600 total yards. That combination gives him a pretty interesting weekly ceiling in CFF.

The return of Andy Kotelnicki also matters. Kansas has historically given its quarterbacks opportunities to produce in multiple ways, and Marshall’s athleticism fits what they want to do offensively.

I’m not ready to call him a locked-in difference maker after one game, but at only 5% rostered, there are definitely worse options sitting on waiver wires right now. The rushing usage raises his floor, and if the passing efficiency carries over against better competition, Marshall could quickly become more than just a matchup-based CFF starter.

For C2C leagues, I’m viewing this much more as a college-production add. Quarterbacks with this type of rushing upside a secure starting job are worth taking a shot on before the rest of your league adjusts.

Matthew: William “Pop” Watson (UMass)

Roster Percentage: 2%

Pop Watson just went off against the big bad Big Ten, and I’m not gonna lie, I didn’t expect this kind of game from him. He went 19-for-22 for 197 yards and 3 TDs against Rutgers and added another 40 yards rushing, finishing with right around 29.88 fantasy points.

The efficiency is what really stood out to me. 19-for-22 against a Big Ten team is pretty damn good, and then you add four total touchdowns on top of it. He looked comfortable, made plays with his legs, and just kept the offense moving. Now the schedule gets easier from here, which is exactly what I want to see after a performance like this.

Running Backs

Dear Readers,

If you’re looking to get a real head start in your dynasty, devy, or C2C leagues, consider joining either our Substack or the website. Both provide actionable, edge-driven content built to help you stay ahead of the field.

Substack is our most affordable option at just $7/month and gives you access to all of our written content.

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Be sure to check out Matty’s Substack as well!

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I write content for Campus 2 Canton, Devy and CFF.

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Now we get to Week 1.

The board is much bigger, we have more matchups to attack, and I’m willing to spray it around a little more this week. We learned a few things in Week 0, and now it’s time to use that information, trust the numbers, and get back on track.

Five Best Bets ATS

Alabama -25.5 Over ECU

This is a massive number, but I’m still willing to lay it with Alabama. East Carolina is basically starting over. The Pirates are coming off a 9-4 season, but they lost 24 players to the transfer portal, including starting quarterback Katin Houser, running back London Montgomery and multiple defensive starters. They also lost both coordinators, so this is not just a roster rebuild. It is a complete schematic reset as well. Mitch Griffis is expected to start at quarterback, and while he brings experience, he struggled to consistently move the offense during his time at Wake Forest. ECU may also work Emory Williams into the rotation, but neither option inspires much confidence against a veteran Alabama defense.

That is really the biggest reason I like this side. I can see ECU’s defense giving Alabama a few issues early. Blake Harrell is a good defensive coach, and preparing for a completely rebuilt unit without much film is never easy. But over four quarters, the talent gap should eventually become overwhelming. And I think Keelon Russell has a big game. This is the kind of matchup where Alabama should be able to let Russell settle in, build confidence and attack a defense that simply does not have the same personnel it had a year ago. Once the Tide find their rhythm, I expect them to create separation quickly. The bigger question is whether ECU can score enough to stay inside the number. I’m not convinced they can. Alabama doesn’t need to score 50 for this to cash. Something in the 38-3 or 42-10 range gets us there, and that feels very realistic.

Best Bet: Alabama -25.5

Dear Readers,

If you’re looking to get a real head start in your dynasty, devy, or C2C leagues, consider joining either our Substack or the website. Both provide actionable, edge-driven content built to help you stay ahead of the field.

Substack is our most affordable option at just $7/month and gives you access to all of our written content.

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The overall outlook on the 2027 class remains extremely strong. The quarterback group still carries legitimate first-round NFL Draft upside, the wide receiver depth continues to look like one of the biggest strengths of the cycle, and the running back hierarchy is beginning to take shape. There is also more tight end upside here than we saw in the previous class, which only adds to the potential depth of future rookie drafts.

This is still early, and these rankings are going to move significantly once real games begin. That’s the point of this exercise. I want this board to serve as a snapshot of where the market and my evaluations stand before Week 1, then we can track which players rise, fall, or completely change the conversation as the season unfolds.

So with camp behind us and the 2026 college football season ready to begin, let’s get into my current Top 24 prospects in the 2027 Superflex class.

Superflex Preview Big Board

What Changed Since My First Big Board?

Dante Moore Is Now My QB1

This is easily the biggest change. Moore moves from 1.05 all the way to 1.02, jumping Arch Manning, Julian Sayin, and Bryant Wesco. The more I have gone back through this quarterback class, the more comfortable I have become betting on Moore’s combination of arm talent, processing, and NFL upside. There are still things I want to see this season, but entering Week 1, he is the quarterback I feel best about in the 2027 class. He has legitimate top-of-the-NFL-Draft upside, and in Superflex, that gives him a real argument to eventually challenge Jeremiah Smith for the 1.01 depending on team need.

Cam Coleman Makes the Jump Into the Elite Tier

Coleman moves from 1.06 to 1.03, and I’m willing to plant my flag here before the season starts. The move to Texas gives him an opportunity to finally pair his physical talent with an offense capable of maximizing it. At 6’3”, 204 pounds, Coleman has the size, athleticism, ball skills, and vertical ability I want when betting on an elite NFL receiver prospect. NFL evaluators are taking notice too. For fantasy purposes, I’m betting on the ceiling. If Coleman puts everything together this year, 1.03 might actually look conservative.

Trey’Dez Green Is Forcing His Way Up the Board

One of the biggest changes for me since my first Big Board is Trey’Dez Green, who has climbed from 2.08 all the way to 2.01. The more I evaluate Green, combined with what we are hearing out of fall camp, the harder it is to keep him buried in the second round. At 6’7”, 237 pounds, Green is simply a different type of weapon at tight end. His basketball background shows up immediately at the catch point. He can extend outside his frame, win above defenders, and essentially give his quarterback a massive margin for error. LSU has also shown that he doesn’t have to be a traditional in-line tight end. He can operate from the slot, split out wide, and create mismatches against linebackers and defensive backs.

Then there is what we’re hearing from fall camp. Green has been killing it in Lane Kiffin’s system, and that’s important for his projection. Kiffin has consistently found ways to manufacture favorable matchups for his best offensive weapons, and Green has the versatility to be moved all over the formation. If that translates into a major receiving role this season, his production ceiling changes quickly. He also brings more after the catch than you would expect from someone his size. Green produced 176 yards after the catch in 2025, showing that he’s not simply a jump-ball target. Get him moving down the seam or into space and he’s capable of turning into a problem for defenders. That’s ultimately why I needed to move him up. The physical profile, receiving ceiling, positional value, and offensive situation are becoming too difficult to ignore. In a TE Premium rookie draft, Green has a legitimate path to becoming a first-round selection, and entering Week 1, I’m willing to get ahead of that possibility. At 2.01, he is already knocking on the door.

Dear Readers,

If you’re looking to get a real head start in your dynasty, devy, or C2C leagues, consider joining either our Substack or the website. Both provide actionable, edge-driven content built to help you stay ahead of the field.

Substack is our most affordable option at just $7/month and gives you access to all of our written content.

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Christian and I walk through our personal rankings from 10 to 1, comparing where we agree, where we differ, and which defenders have the clearest paths to improving their draft stock. At the top, Dylan Stewart and Colin Simmons headline the class as two of the most talented pass rushers in college football. Behind them, names like Yhonzae Pierre, John Henry Daley, Clev Lubin, David Stone, A’Mauri Washington, Anthony Smith, Will Echoles, Justin Scott, and Kenyatta Jackson all bring different strengths and developmental paths to the table.

Some of these players win with explosiveness and pure pass-rush ability. Others bring size, power, run-defense value, versatility, or the ability to collapse the pocket from the interior. That is what makes this group interesting. It is not just a collection of edge rushers. There are true three-down defenders, interior disruptors, power players, and developmental prospects with the physical tools to climb quickly.

This episode is not just about ranking defensive linemen. It is about understanding the profiles. We discuss each player’s strengths, concerns, PFF grades, career production, positional projection, and what they need to prove this season to move up the board. Whether you are preparing for the 2027 NFL Draft, following college football prospects, or trying to get ahead of the next wave of defensive stars, this is the starting point for the 2027 defensive line conversation.

If you want to go even deeper, everything we do lives on the site: rankings, ADP, tools, guides, articles, and much more at The Devy Royale. That’s the full TDR ecosystem.

The Devy Royale Website

And if you want access to everything we’re building, live shows, rankings updates, articles, Discord access, and direct interaction with us, consider subscribing right here on Substack and becoming part of the TDR community.

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Trent Mosley, WR, USC

Week 0: 7 receptions, 118 yards, 1 touchdown
Verdict: Smoke

Trent Mosley entered USC as a decorated four-star prospect, but nobody expected the true freshman to become the centerpiece of Lincoln Riley’s passing attack this quickly. Mosley caught seven passes for 118 yards and a touchdown in USC’s 42-26 win over San Jose State, becoming the first Power Four freshman since Rondale Moore in 2018 to record at least seven receptions, 100 receiving yards and a touchdown in his collegiate debut.

The box score was impressive, but his usage makes the performance even more encouraging. Mosley led USC with nine targets, accounted for six first downs and finished with more than twice as many receiving yards as any other Trojan. He operated primarily from the slot, lining up there on 77.3% of his snaps, and averaged an outstanding 5.36 yards per route run. Mosley also produced 7.4 yards after the catch per reception, showing the versatility and explosiveness that made him one of California’s most productive high school players.

This was not simply one broken coverage inflating his final numbers. Mosley consistently created offense, recording receptions of 16, 20, 17 and 33 yards during the second quarter before adding a 14-yard touchdown in the third. USC also trusted him on special teams, where he generated a 41-yard punt return in his first collegiate game.

There is some context we cannot ignore. Tanook Hines and Terrell Anderson were both unavailable, opening additional opportunities within USC’s receiving rotation. The Trojans also faced San Jose State, so Mosley will encounter much more difficult defenses as the season progresses. His weekly target volume could decline once the receiver room gets healthier.

Still, there is too much smoke here to dismiss what we saw. Mosley graduated early, arrived during the spring and immediately earned the trust of Jayden Maiava and Lincoln Riley. That connection was obvious in Week 0, as Maiava looked in Mosley’s direction more than any other USC receiver. His combination of alignment versatility, yards-after-catch ability and special-teams value should make it difficult for the coaching staff to reduce his role.

Fantasy Impact: Mosley should be one of the biggest early-season risers in Campus to Canton formats and a priority addition wherever he remains available in CFF leagues. From a Devy perspective, we should avoid vaulting him into the elite tier after one game, but a true freshman commanding this type of involvement in a Lincoln Riley offense demands attention. The opportunity may have been created by injuries, but Mosley showed enough to keep earning targets when USC returns to full strength.

Luke Weaver, QB, San Jose State

Week 0: 21-of-32 passing, 234 yards, 2 passing touchdowns; 8 carries, 42 yards, 1 rushing touchdown
Verdict: Proceed with Caution

Dear Readers,

If you’re looking to get a real head start in your dynasty, devy, or C2C leagues, consider joining either our Substack or the website. Both provide actionable, edge-driven content built to help you stay ahead of the field.

Substack is our most affordable option at just $7/month and gives you access to all of our written content.

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Whether you're getting ready for fantasy drafts or just want to stay locked in, we've got you covered. Make sure to subscribe so you don't miss any updates as we march toward kickoff.

*Editor's Note: These will be released every Sunday with as much updated information as possible.

Arizona Cardinals

Projected Depth Chart:

QB: Jacoby Brissett, Gardner Minshew II, Carson Beck
RB: Jeremiyah Love, Tyler Allgeier, Bam Knight, James Conner
WR: Marvin Harrison Jr., Michael Wilson, Kendrick Bourne, Devin Duvernay, Simi Fehoko, Jalen Brooks, Reggie Virgil
TE: Trey McBride, Elijah Higgins, Hunter Long

Final Pulse:

This Arizona team is probably going to be bad, but there are two fantasy pieces I am watching closely. Marvin Harrison Jr. looks like he is finally putting together the breakout everyone has been waiting for. He has been solid throughout camp, and while a lot of people are buying into Michael Wilson, Harrison is still the guy I want from this passing game. The talent has never been the question, and this feels like the year the production starts catching up. Jeremiyah Love is the other major piece. He has made progress since suffering the ankle injury, but he is still clearly not 100 percent. With a high-ankle sprain, I would be surprised if he is fully healthy over the first few games of the season. That makes Tyler Allgeier really intriguing early. Arizona may struggle as a team, but Harrison and Love are still two players who can matter a lot for fantasy.

Injury Watch:

Jeremiyah Love (ankle) is questionable but worked out before the preseason finale; James Conner (foot) remains questionable for Week 1; Carson Beck (ribs) has been limited; Ihmir Smith-Marsette (ankle) is questionable; Xavier Weaver (hamstring) are on IR.

Atlanta Falcons

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The other challenge is the limited slate. There simply aren’t a ton of games to choose from, which makes it easy to force action just because football is back. That’s something I want to avoid. The goal this week is simple: stay selective, trust the spots where we have an edge, and don’t overreact to the excitement of Week 0.

With such a limited Week 0 slate, I’m cutting this week’s card down from the usual five bets to three. There’s no reason to force action just to hit a number. Give me the three spots I feel strongest about, and we’ll save the bigger cards for when we have more games and more information to work with.

Five Best Bets ATS

TCU -6.5 vs. North Carolina

This is my favorite spot on the Week 0 slate.

North Carolina enters Year 2 of the Bill Belichick experiment after an ugly 4-8 debut season, while TCU has quietly won nine games in each of the past two years under Sonny Dykes. Now the Horned Frogs get an opportunity to open the season on a national stage in Dublin against a program that still feels like it is trying to find its footing. Both teams will have new quarterbacks, but I trust TCU’s situation significantly more. Harvard transfer Jaden Craig threw for 2,869 yards and 25 touchdowns last season, and the reports out of Fort Worth have been positive throughout camp. TCU also has a backfield I expect to be one of the strengths of this offense. Jeremy Payne is the name everyone knows after his Alamo Bowl performance, but the depth behind him gives the Frogs multiple ways to attack North Carolina on the ground.

That is ultimately where I think this game gets decided. TCU should be able to lean on its offensive line, establish the run and gradually wear down the Tar Heels. There are still questions about how quickly the new offense comes together under Gordon Sammis, but I trust Sonny Dykes and the overall stability of this program much more than what North Carolina has shown under Belichick. TCU beat North Carolina 48-14 last season. I’m not expecting another 34-point beatdown, but I do think the Horned Frogs are clearly the better team.

Best Bet: TCU -6.5

The market has already started agreeing, with TCU moving as high as -7.5 at some books.

Dear Readers,

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1. Jayden Maiava, Quarterback, USC (6040, 218)

Maiava is probably the weekend's highlight, with plenty of attention in the scouting community. Boasting a big frame, a ton of athletic upside, and an inconsistent body of work, Maiava will look to overcome fraudulent scheme allegations with high-level anticipatory throws and better field vision. Maiava was incredibly productive as a junior, throwing for 3,711 yards and 24 touchdowns, and possessing an 89.9 QBR, good for second in the nation. His sack avoidance and pocket navigation are outstanding, and he’ll hope to vault into first-round conversation with a big debut against San Jose State on Saturday.

2. Jaden Craig, Quarterback, TCU (6030, 225)

After two years as a starter at Harvard, Craig will take a massive leap in competition level and show the world whether he’s ready for the big stage. Craig has an impressive arm, with easy zip and a wide array of arm slots without sacrificing accuracy. He’s an above-average athlete who can drop the football in a bucket, especially when pushing to the deep third. Craig caught Bill Belichick’s eye ahead of this game, with the Hall of Fame coach explaining how impressed he was by Craig after digging into the film. I currently consider Craig a better prospect than Maiava, as his pinpoint accuracy could be ultra valuable as a backup (or more) in the NFL. TCU kicks off against North Carolina at noon ET on Saturday.

3. Jekail Middlebrook, Running Back, Virginia (5100, 198)

After three years at Middle Tennessee, Middlebrook transferred to Virginia and won the starting job over a slew of running backs, including Peyton Lewis, the bigger name in the portal this offseason. Middlebrook racked up over 1,100 all-purpose yards last year, displaying excellent contact balance, breaking off tons of chunk runs, and showing off chops as a receiver (and blocker, something that could get him extended eyes this fall). He’ll hope to vault his way into Day 2 discussions, though he’s more likely to be a Day 3 selection next spring. Virginia kicks off against NC State on Saturday at 3:30 PM ET.

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Over the last few weeks, we’ve gone conference by conference tracking the biggest developments from camp. Now I want to pull everything together and focus on the CFB Camp Reports: Top Stories before the season officially gets rolling.

This isn’t about recapping every team or every positive practice report. At this point, I’m looking for the developments that could actually matter once games start: quarterbacks who separated, running backs who earned bigger roles, receivers emerging as top targets, freshmen forcing their way into rotations, and situations where the fantasy market may still be behind the information.

Some of these storylines have been building all month. Others have changed quickly over the last week. With Week 0 starting, this is the last real checkpoint before we stop projecting and start reacting to actual football.

These are the camp stories I think matter most heading into the 2026 season.

Alabama Names Keelon Russell Starting QB

We’ve been on Keelon Russell for months here at TDR. I was high on him coming out of high school, had him as my QB1 in that class, and nothing has changed for me. If he hits this season, we are talking about a player who could push himself into the 1.01 conversation next offseason in Devy and Campus to Canton formats.

Alabama has officially handed him the offense, and that matters. Russell beat out Austin Mack for the job because he showed the staff he could consistently operate the offense, handle the responsibilities at the line, and give them something extra when plays break down. That last part is what makes him so intriguing for fantasy. Russell can create outside structure, add rushing production, and turn bad plays into explosive ones.

There are going to be mistakes. He barely played as a freshman, so we are not projecting some finished product here. That does not bother me. The reason I have been so aggressive on Russell is the ceiling. He has the arm talent, mobility, and creativity you want from a high-end fantasy quarterback, and now he has the starting job at Alabama with Kalen DeBoer and Ryan Grubb designing the offense around him.

The supporting cast is going to be a work in progress. Alabama replaces a ton of offensive production and could be relying heavily on younger players, especially up front. Ryan Coleman-Williams gives Russell at least one established target, but this offense is going to have to grow with him throughout the season.

From a CFF perspective, Russell immediately becomes one of the more interesting quarterbacks in the country because of the rushing upside. Alabama should not ask him to sit in the pocket and play like last year’s starter. Let him move. Let him create. Let him stress defenses with his legs. That is where the fantasy ceiling comes from.

For Devy, this is where things can move fast. Russell already had the pedigree. Now he has the Alabama starting job and a real opportunity to put himself on the national stage. If he produces the way I think he can, his value is going to be significantly higher by the end of the season than it is right now.

LSU Could Be a CFF and C2C Gold Mine

LSU is one of the offenses I keep coming back to because there are fantasy assets everywhere. Sam Leavitt is healthy and locked in as QB1, the backfield is deep, the receiver room has multiple players worth targeting, and Trey’Dez Green has a chance to become one of the best tight ends in the country.

At quarterback, Leavitt is exactly where we expected him to be. He attacked rehab throughout the spring, has continued progressing through camp, and reportedly looked good in the latest scrimmage, especially throwing into tighter windows. The more interesting development for me is Husan Longstreet. His consistency has improved enough that he looks pretty secure as QB2, and I think he is a great stash in deeper C2C and Devy formats. If you can be patient, there is real long-term upside there.

The running back room is where things get interesting. Dilin Jones currently sitting at RB1 is a little surprising, especially with Harlem Berry right there. Jones and Berry should both play plenty, but I am still Team Berry from a talent and upside standpoint. The RB3 battle between Caden Durham and Stacy Gage matters less for immediate fantasy, but it tells you how crowded this room is. Gage had a strong first scrimmage, then Durham answered in the second. There is a lot of talent here, which is great for LSU and not always great for CFF volume.

At receiver, Winston Watkins Jr. is the guy I want. LSU has ridiculous depth with Jackson Harris, Eugene Wilson, Jayce Brown, Malik Elzy, Phillip Wright III, and others all pushing for work, but Watkins is the name I am prioritizing. There may not be an obvious Ja’Marr Chase or Malik Nabers level alpha sitting here right now, but Watkins has the talent to become the receiver who separates from this group. In CFF and C2C, that is the bet I want to make.

Then there is Trey’Dez Green, who might be the best long-term asset on the offense outside of Leavitt. Zach Grace has moved up the depth chart behind him and should have a role as more of an H-back, but Green is the one with legitimate difference-making upside. I think he is on his way to becoming a first-round NFL Draft pick if the production matches the talent this season.

From a fantasy perspective, LSU is loaded. Leavitt is the immediate CFF centerpiece, Longstreet is the stash, Berry is still my preferred running back despite Jones sitting at RB1, Watkins is the receiver I want to own, and Green is one of the premier C2C tight end assets in the country. This is one of those offenses where we could look back in a few months and wish we had been even more aggressive before the season started.

Dear Readers,

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For this exercise, I selected one player at every position whom I am willing to plant my flag on entering the 2026 season. The price may change throughout draft season, but my conviction will not. These are the players I want on my rosters, the ones I am willing to reach for, and the ones I will have no problem defending if things go wrong. These are my guys.

Quarterback: C.J. Stroud

C.J. Stroud currently sits at QB23 in PPR redraft rankings, making him one of my favorite zero-QB targets this season. His fantasy stock has fallen significantly since his breakout rookie year, but I believe the market has overcorrected. Stroud has not suddenly forgotten how to play quarterback. Injuries, inconsistent protection, and a nonexistent running game have made the last two seasons much more difficult than they needed to be.

Even last season’s QB23 finish does not tell the entire story. Stroud missed three games, and his overall numbers include both the game in which he was injured and a difficult first game back. In his other 11 appearances, he averaged 16.8 fantasy points per game. That would have placed him around QB15 alongside players such as Baker Mayfield, Joe Burrow, Jayden Daniels, and Jacoby Brissett. That is not elite production, but it is much closer to fantasy relevance than his current ranking suggests.

The loss of Jayden Higgins to a torn ACL was a significant blow, but Houston responded by acquiring Kayshon Boutte from New England. Boutte is not a direct replacement for everything Higgins could have provided, but he gives Stroud another legitimate outside receiver who can win vertically. He caught 33 passes for 551 yards and six touchdowns last season and developed into one of Drake Maye’s most reliable deep threats. Over his two seasons with Maye, Boutte produced 1,140 receiving yards and nine touchdowns. Houston did not have to give up much to acquire him, and the trade gives the offense another proven weapon while Tank Dell continues working his way back from a major knee injury.

Stroud now enters the season with Nico Collins as his clear top target, Boutte providing a vertical presence, Jaylin Noel continuing to emerge, and Dell potentially returning to the rotation. Houston also upgraded the offensive line and added David Montgomery to stabilize a rushing attack that fell apart without Joe Mixon. Stroud needs a functional running game to keep the offense on schedule and prevent defenses from consistently putting him in obvious passing situations. The combination of better protection, improved backfield stability, and another capable receiver should help restore some of the rhythm and explosive passing plays that have been missing.

Stroud does not offer the rushing production needed to become a truly elite fantasy quarterback, but I do not need that at his current cost. He is locked into the starting job, has already proven he can produce at a high level, and faces one of the friendlier quarterback schedules in the league. I expect multiple QB1 weeks and a legitimate chance to outperform his QB23 ranking. He is one of my favorite late-round quarterback targets in redraft and a strong QB2 option in dynasty and Superflex formats. The Boutte trade only strengthens my conviction in a Stroud bounce-back season.

Running Back: Jadarian Price

I almost went with Quinshon Judkins here, but I am sticking with my guy. I have been high on Jadarian Price for the last two years. At one point, I even argued that he was a better running back than Jeremiyah Love, and I still stand by that evaluation. Seattle selecting Price with the final pick of the first round only strengthened my conviction.

The Seahawks drafted Price to replace Kenneth Walker, who left for Kansas City in free agency, and he may eventually offer more versatility within the offense. Zach Charbonnet is still working his way back from the torn ACL he suffered during Seattle’s playoff run, leaving Emanuel Wilson and George Holani as Price’s primary competition for early-season touches. Seattle did not spend a first-round pick on Price to ease him into a minor role. He has a legitimate opportunity to lead this backfield immediately.

Price is an explosive runner who consistently creates yards beyond what is blocked. Over his final two collegiate seasons, he posted strong marks in yards after contact, breakaway rate, and elusive rating. His acceleration and ability to generate chunk plays should translate immediately behind Seattle’s offensive line. He also scored 13 touchdowns on only 119 touches during his final season at Notre Dame, showing the type of scoring upside he could bring to this offense.

The passing game remains the biggest question. Price received only 13 targets over his final two collegiate seasons and finished his Notre Dame career with 15 receptions in 41 games. However, Sam Darnold has already praised Price’s ability to contribute as both a runner and receiver. We should not assume he cannot catch simply because Notre Dame did not regularly use him that way. If Price earns even a modest receiving role while taking over the majority of the rushing and red-zone work, his fantasy ceiling rises considerably.

Price is currently being drafted as a low-end RB2, but I expect him to outperform that cost. He has first-round draft capital, limited healthy competition, a favorable schedule, and the explosive rushing profile needed to produce immediately. I am targeting him aggressively in the middle rounds of redraft leagues, and I am completely bought in on him as a strong RB2 in dynasty. Judkins was tempting, but Price has been one of my guys for too long to abandon him now.

Wide Receiver: Jaylen Waddle

Jaylen Waddle is not a player I have talked about much this offseason, but he is someone I have always believed in. I loved him as a prospect, and we have already seen him produce at a high level in Miami. Waddle has posted a 100-catch season, averaged 18 yards per reception in another, and shown the ability to be one of the most efficient receivers in football. The talent has never been the question. The issue has been inconsistent volume and a Miami offense that too often treated him like a secondary option.

That changes in Denver. The Broncos gave up three 2026 draft picks to acquire Waddle, including a first-rounder. That is not the type of investment a team makes without a plan to feature the player. He now joins a creative, pass-heavy offense with an ascending quarterback in Bo Nix. Denver ranked near the top of the league in pass rate last season, and Sean Payton has consistently found ways to manufacture touches for his best playmakers. Waddle should see more screens, motion, and designed opportunities to use his speed after the catch than he received during his final seasons in Miami.

I also believe Waddle immediately becomes the best receiver on this roster. Courtland Sutton is still a good player and will remain a factor, particularly in the red zone, but I view him as the clear WR2 in this offense. His target rate and yards per route run declined last season even without an established receiver consistently challenging him for opportunities. Troy Franklin and Pat Bryant are intriguing pieces, but neither should prevent Denver from feeding the player it just paid a premium to acquire.

Waddle looked healthy in his brief preseason debut, turning his only opportunity into a significant gain on third down. That play offered a glimpse of what he can add to this offense. If Nix continues developing and Denver gives Waddle the volume its investment suggests, he has a legitimate chance to produce the best fantasy season of his career.

We have seen talented receivers explode after changing teams, and Waddle has the ability to become the next example. I expect him to lead Denver in targets and receiving yards while pushing for a true WR1 fantasy finish. The injury concerns and crowded depth chart might scare away some managers, but I am not overthinking it. Waddle is one of the most explosive receivers in football, and Denver finally gives him the opportunity to be treated like it.

Tight End: Colston Loveland

I am sticking with old reliable at tight end. Colston Loveland is already being drafted as the TE3, so this is not an attempt to identify a bargain. The expectations are extremely high, but I believe he lives up to them. Loveland has a legitimate chance to become the top target in Chicago and challenge Brock Bowers and Trey McBride for the overall TE1 finish.

Loveland’s final rookie numbers were solid, but they do not fully capture how dominant he became once Chicago expanded his role. From Week 9 through the end of the regular season, he was the TE5 in fantasy scoring. Over his final five games, including the playoffs, he commanded a 25.1% target share and averaged 16.8 PPR points per game. For comparison, Trey McBride led all tight ends last season with a 25.4% target share. Loveland was already seeing elite usage before his rookie year ended.

His playoff performance against Green Bay showed exactly what his ceiling can look like. Loveland caught eight passes for 137 yards on 15 targets, consistently separating against zone coverage and creating explosive plays down the field. This is not a tight end who needs touchdowns or short receptions to survive in fantasy. He finished near the top of the position in receiving grade and yards per route run while carrying an average target depth of 9.5 yards. Chicago is using him as a legitimate downfield weapon.

The departure of D.J. Moore creates an even clearer path to elite volume. His 85 targets are now available in an offense that should concentrate its passing game around Loveland, Rome Odunze, and Luther Burden. Cole Kmet remains on the roster, but Loveland had already passed him before the end of last season. Loveland is clearly the centerpiece of Ben Johnson’s tight end room and maybe his offense.

The remaining variable is Caleb Williams. His accuracy and consistency must improve for this offense to reach its ceiling, but Loveland still produced despite receiving one of the lowest rates of catchable targets among qualified tight ends. Even modest growth from Williams could unlock another level.

There is some risk in paying a TE3 price for a player with only a small sample of full-time usage. I understand that argument, but sometimes we overthink obvious breakouts. Loveland has the draft capital, efficiency, target profile, and offensive opportunity to become one of fantasy football’s true difference-makers. His ADP is expensive because it should be. I am planting my flag on Loveland living up to the cost and finishing inside the top three at the position, with a real opportunity to finish first.

Dynasty Bonus: The Player I’m Buying Before Week 1

The four players above are my redraft flags, but I wanted to add one dynasty-specific target for paid subscribers. This is a player I am actively trying to acquire before the season begins and before the market has a chance to react. Once the games start, I believe the current buying window could disappear quickly.

Dear Readers,

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In this edition of Dynasty ADP Movers and Risers, we’re breaking down the players who have seen the most notable changes in the market and, more importantly, whether those moves are justified. Some players are finally getting the value bump they deserve, while others may be climbing too quickly based on a small sample of August hype.

The goal isn’t just to identify who is moving. It’s to figure out what we should actually do about it. Which risers are still worth buying? Which fallers have become opportunities? And where has the dynasty market potentially overcorrected?

Let’s get into the biggest ADP moves and what they mean for your dynasty rosters.

Deebo Samuel +56.2 ADP Change

Deebo Samuel has been one of the biggest ADP risers of the offseason, jumping 56.2 spots, and I understand why the market is reacting. San Francisco brought him back after adding Mike Evans and Christian Kirk, and Samuel has already been moved around the formation throughout camp. He also played with the starters in the preseason and caught a pass on the opening play, so this doesn’t look like a situation where he was brought in simply to provide veteran depth. The 49ers clearly have plans for him. But from a dynasty perspective, I’m using this rise in value as an opportunity to move Deebo.

Samuel is 30 years old, and there are still a lot of questions about what his weekly role actually looks like in an offense that now includes Evans, Kirk, George Kittle and an impressive young receiver in De’Zhaun Stribling. Deebo can still provide useful fantasy weeks because of how creatively San Francisco can deploy him, but I’m much more interested in what his increased ADP allows me to get back in a trade than I am betting on another long-term value spike.

This is exactly the type of veteran asset I want to capitalize on when the market starts moving. If I can turn Deebo into a younger player, another established veteran I prefer, or even get a future pick that gives me more flexibility, I’m doing it. His value could absolutely remain steady during the season if the production is there, but the downside is much greater than the upside from his current dynasty price.

12-Team SF/TE Premium Trades:

• Deebo Samuel for a 2028 3rd + Tory Horton: Give me the Horton side. I’ll take the younger upside and the future pick.

• Deebo Samuel + Stefon Diggs for DJ Moore: Easily DJ Moore for me. This is exactly how I want to consolidate aging veterans.

• Deebo Samuel for Tre Harris: Give me Harris. I’d rather bet on the younger receiver maintaining or increasing his dynasty value.

• Deebo Samuel for Brenton Strange: In TE premium, I’m comfortable moving Deebo for Strange and shifting into a younger asset at a position where the scoring format creates additional value.

• Deebo Samuel for Courtland Sutton: I prefer Sutton. If I’m staying with an older receiver, I want the player I feel better about having a consistent target-earning role.

Market Takeaway: Deebo rising this much is good news if you already roster him. I just don’t think it means you should suddenly view him as a dynasty buy. This is a value window I’m looking to sell into.

Caleb Douglas +46.5 ADP Change

Dear Readers,

If you’re looking to get a real head start in your dynasty, devy, or C2C leagues, consider joining either our Substack or the website. Both provide actionable, edge-driven content built to help you stay ahead of the field.

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Whether you're getting ready for fantasy drafts or just want to stay locked in, we've got you covered. Make sure to subscribe so you don't miss any updates as we march toward kickoff.

*Editor's Note: These will be released every Sunday with as much updated information as possible.

Arizona Cardinals

QB: Jacoby Brissett remains firmly in control of the starting job entering the season. Arizona even reworked his deal to include $15 million guaranteed, which is another pretty clear indication that the Cardinals are committed to him for 2026. This is still more interesting from a real-life football perspective than fantasy. Brissett can keep the offense functional, but I am not expecting him to suddenly become a difference-maker for dynasty managers. The bigger question is whether this offense can continue to be as efficient through the air once the regular season starts.

RB: This room suddenly has a lot more uncertainty. Jeremiyah Love is dealing with a high-ankle sprain and is considered week-to-week. The expectation is still that he has a chance to be ready for Week 1, but high-ankle injuries are not something I like messing around with, especially at running back. Love received 14 touches in his preseason debut, which looks even more questionable now knowing he was already dealing with something. Behind him, Bam Knight has been one of the biggest winners of camp. He has consistently taken advantage of his opportunities and has also started contributing on special teams, which could help him secure a roster spot. Trey Benson has gone in the opposite direction. He has barely participated in team work while recovering from meniscus surgery and now appears to be fighting just to remain on the roster.

WR: This receiver room has quietly become pretty deep. Marvin Harrison Jr. bounced back after some early drops and has put together a much better stretch of practices. Michael Wilson continues to make plays consistently, while Kendrick Bourne has been a solid addition. Reggie Virgil also came on strong late in camp and looks relatively secure. The real battle is at the bottom. Jalen Brooks, Ihmir Smith-Marsette, and Simi Fehoko are competing for what could be the sixth and final receiver spot, and Brooks has been gaining momentum after his strong preseason performances. There may not be a ton of immediate fantasy value there, but Arizona is going to have to cut a receiver who can play.

TE: Trey McBride is still great.

Should Be on Your Radar: Jeremiyah Love’s high-ankle sprain. This is easily the biggest fantasy development in Arizona. I am still extremely high on the talent. Love was one of the cleanest prospects in this class, and nothing he showed before the injury changed that. But high-ankle sprains can linger. Even if Love gets cleared for Week 1, the bigger question is whether he is actually 100 percent and whether Arizona decides to manage his workload early. That suddenly makes the rest of this backfield more relevant. Bam Knight has earned more trust throughout camp, while Tyler Allgeier gives Arizona another established option. And with Trey Benson struggling just to get healthy enough to compete, Knight has become much more interesting. Long term, this is still Love’s backfield. For redraft, though, I am going to be a little more cautious until we know he is completely healthy. The talent is elite. The ankle is now the variable.

Atlanta Falcons

Dear Readers,

If you’re looking to get a real head start in your dynasty, devy, or C2C leagues, consider joining either our Substack or the website. Both provide actionable, edge-driven content built to help you stay ahead of the field.

Substack is our most affordable option at just $7/month and gives you access to all of our written content.

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However you choose to support us, we truly appreciate you being part of what we’re building and trusting us to help you win.

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For this article, I am focusing on the player props that stand out the most to me heading into the 2026 season. Some of these bets come down to opportunity. Others are about quarterbacks or skill players I think the market is still too low on. And with a few of them, I simply think the number does not match what that player is capable of producing if everything goes according to plan.

These are not necessarily the biggest names in college football. They are the numbers where I think we have an edge.

Here are my favorite 2026 college football season-long player prop bets.

Cam Coleman Over 749.5 Receiving Yards

This is one of my favorite season-long props on the board because I think Cam Coleman is walking into the best situation of his career. Coleman has always looked the part. He is 6-foot-3, moves incredibly well for his size, has a massive catch radius, and can win vertically. The problem at Auburn was never talent. It was consistency around him, especially at quarterback. Even with that, Coleman still finished his first two seasons with 93 receptions for 1,306 yards and 13 touchdowns. Now he gets Arch Manning in an offense I expect to throw the ball a lot, and he should immediately step in as the No. 1 option.

Last season, Coleman led Auburn in targets per game at 7.4, while also leading the team in chunk rate, explosive rate, and air yards per reception. He was already being used as both a short-area option and a vertical threat, with hitch routes and go routes making up a huge portion of his route tree. The production just never fully matched the talent because Auburn struggled to consistently get him the football in the right spots. That should change at Texas. Manning finished 2025 playing some of his best football, and pairing him with Coleman and Ryan Wingo gives this offense a completely different ceiling in the passing game.

For Coleman to clear 749.5 yards, we are talking about roughly 63 receiving yards per game over a 12-game regular season. I think that number is too low for the role he is walking into. He is Texas’ No. 1 receiver, he finally has a quarterback capable of maximizing what he does downfield, and I expect the Longhorns to be aggressive throwing the football. If Coleman stays healthy, I think he clears this number without much trouble.

The Bet: Cam Coleman Over 749.5 Receiving Yards

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Win totals are one of my favorite ways to bet college football because they force you to look beyond just how talented a team is. Quarterback play matters. Coaching matters. The schedule matters. Depth matters. And sometimes the biggest edge comes from identifying where the market has gone too far in either direction.

For this article, I’m not trying to pick every team on the board. These are the numbers that stand out the most to me heading into the 2026 season. Some are teams I believe are being undervalued, while others have expectations that I think are simply too high.

These are my 2026 College Football Win Totals Best Bets.

Oklahoma Over 7.5 Wins

Oklahoma is one of my favorite over bets on the board because I think this comes down to whether John Mateer can play to his ceiling. The Sooners already have the defense and coaching staff to compete with anyone in the SEC. The issue is the schedule. Oklahoma has to go on the road to Michigan and Georgia, gets Georgia and Texas in back-to-back weeks in the middle of the season, then has another difficult stretch with Ole Miss and Texas A&M before closing the year at Missouri. There are not many easy spots here, which is why getting over 7.5 wins is going to require Mateer to be significantly better than he was for stretches last season.

The good news is there is a real case for that jump. Oklahoma asked Mateer to create far too much out of chaos in 2025. The offense took longer to develop, he dealt with the highest pressure rate of the group when compared with Gunner Stockton and Trinidad Chambliss, and that showed up in the results. Mateer finished with the highest turnover-worthy play rate and the lowest passing grade of the three. Stockton might have the highest floor and Chambliss might be the better quarterback right now, but I still think Mateer has the highest ceiling. Oklahoma returns its offensive line, brings back a defense capable of keeping it in games, and Mateer gets a second year in the same system.

That is the bet for me. I am betting on continuity, development, and Mateer taking a meaningful step forward. The schedule is brutal and there will be weeks where Oklahoma gets tested, but this is also the type of team that can beat opponents it is not supposed to beat if the offense becomes more consistent. I think the Sooners surprise some people in 2026 and get to eight wins.

The Bet: Oklahoma Over 7.5 Wins

California Over 6.5 Wins

California is another team I am willing to bet on because I believe in Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele enough to buy the over at 6.5 wins. Tosh Lupoi’s first major job after taking over was making sure Sagapolutele stayed in Berkeley, and keeping him gives Cal a legitimate foundation to build around. If Sagapolutele takes another step, this offense has the upside to be one of the more dangerous units in the ACC. Chase Hendricks and Ian Strong add more playmaking ability on the outside. Dorian Thomas gives them another option at tight end, and Adam Muhammad should have a chance to lead the backfield with Ashton Emory providing additional depth.

The schedule is what makes this number interesting. The opener against UCLA is massive because it gives Cal an immediate chance to bank a win before ACC play really starts. There are difficult spots on the schedule, including Clemson and some challenging conference road games, but I do not think Cal needs everything to break perfectly to get to seven. If the Bears take care of the games they should win and steal one of those tougher ACC road matchups, the over becomes very realistic.

This is ultimately a bet on Sagapolutele and the direction of the program under Lupoi. Cal has enough offensive talent to create problems, and I think the quarterback is good enough to raise the floor of this team even when the schedule gets difficult. I am not expecting Cal to suddenly become an ACC contender overnight, but seven wins is absolutely within reach. I think Lupoi gets this program moving in the right direction immediately, and the Bears clear this number.

The Bet: California Over 6.5 Wins

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*Editor's Note: These will be released every Sunday with as much updated information as possible.

Arizona Cardinals

QB: The Cardinals’ passing attack continues to be one of the more encouraging developments of camp. Jacoby Brissett looked sharp with the starters, including an impressive touchdown throw to Marvin Harrison Jr. while moving outside the pocket. Gardner Minshew followed it up with another efficient performance, and Arizona’s quarterbacks completed every pass they attempted in the first half.

Carson Beck missed the game with a rib injury, but it does not appear to be a major concern. His strong preseason debut still has him trending in the right direction behind Brissett.

RB: Jeremiyah Love finally got a chance to show what his game looks like with live tackling, and he delivered. Love finished with 58 yards on 11 carries while consistently creating more than what was blocked. The quick feet and explosiveness were obvious, but the receiving usage may have been even more encouraging. He caught all three of his targets and was clearly being used as a legitimate option out of the backfield. He also comfortably out-touched Tyler Allgeier, which is something fantasy managers need to notice. Love did leave with an ankle issue late in his night, but the early indication is that it is minor. That is still something we need to monitor.

WR: The Marvin Harrison Jr. versus Michael Wilson conversation is still going to be there, but I continue to believe Harrison’s talent eventually wins out. Harrison only needed one target to make an impact against Las Vegas, catching a touchdown and drawing a defensive pass interference penalty downfield. He looks healthy again after an injury-shortened 2025 season, and this is a massive year for him. Michael Wilson has been excellent throughout camp and deserves the praise, but Harrison simply has another level of talent if everything finally comes together. Further down the depth chart, Jalen Brooks continues to make plays. After putting up 99 yards in the Hall of Fame Game, he followed it with six catches, 52 yards, and a touchdown. Reggie Virgil also added another impressive catch and continues to make his case for a role.

TE: Not much has changed here. Trey McBride is the TE1 and remains one of the safest bets at the position. He should continue to be a major part of this passing attack.

Should Be on Your Radar: The offensive line and Jeremiyah Love’s health. Love looked every bit like the No. 3 overall pick in his first real extended preseason work. He created yards on his own, showed he can be featured as a receiver, and already appears to be separating from the rest of this backfield. But the offensive line was already my biggest concern with Arizona, and now it may have taken another major hit. Rookie guard Chase Bisontis suffered a knee injury that Mike LaFleur immediately described as concerning. Arizona was already dealing with depth issues up front after losing Kaleb Proctor earlier in the offseason. If Bisontis is out for an extended period, that becomes a real problem for an offense built around protecting Brissett and creating space for Love. Love’s ankle appears minor, but it is still another situation worth watching after Arizona gave him 14 touches in his first preseason game. The talent is not the question with Love. He looks legit. The question is whether this offensive line can give him enough help to reach that ceiling consistently.

Atlanta Falcons

Dear Readers,

If you’re looking to get a real head start in your dynasty, devy, or C2C leagues, consider joining either our Substack or the website. Both provide actionable, edge-driven content built to help you stay ahead of the field.

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