2024 Rookie Mock Draft SF/TE Premium
Kevin Coleman and Christian Williams break down a recent 2024 rookie mock draft and include their dynasty takeaways, player values, dynasty trades, and favorite dynasty stashes.
As rookie drafts continue to shape the landscape of dynasty leagues, we bring you a recent mock draft from The Devy Royale. This draft, conducted under the parameters of a 12-team Superflex/TE Premium, offers valuable insights into the potential impact of rookie draft picks and their trade value in this specific league format.
Superflex: Superflex leagues allow fantasy managers to start a second quarterback in a flex position.
TE Premium: Tight-end premium dynasty leagues boost tight ends to balance their value compared to quarterbacks, running backs, and wide receivers. In this mock, the TE premium was 1.50 for tight ends. This is a relatively smaller premium than what most tight-end leagues use. If you want tight-end premium, consider using 2.0 to ensure an accurate premium.
1.01 - Caleb Williams - Chicago Bears
Caleb Williams, the 1.01 pick, is stepping into an ideal situation in Chicago. With a strong supporting cast including DJ Moore, Keenan Allen, and rookie Rome Odunze, Williams is set up for success. He has the potential to finish his rookie season in the top-12, become the first 4,000-yard passer in Chicago Bears history, and establish himself as a top-five dynasty quarterback in his sophomore campaign. This immediate and high-level production makes Williams a clear choice for 1.01 picks this season.
1.01 Trade Value (12 Team SF/TE Premium 1.75)
1.01 for Amon-Ra St. Brown
Bryce Young/1.01 for Joe Burrow
1.01/Jahan Dotson for 1.05
1.01/2025 2nd for Justin Herbert
Kyler Murray/1.01 for Jalen Hurts/D.J. Moore
1.02 - Marvin Harrison Jr. - Arizona Cardinals
The Cardinals have one of the best draft spots for any wide receiver. They were in dire need of a WR1, and with Harrison, they finally have one. Last season, the Cardinals' highest-scoring receiver in fantasy was Michael Wilson, who was WR60. They lost Marquise Brown to the Chiefs in free agency, and they needed to get Kyler Murray a weapon outside of tight end Trey Mcbride. There is no reason not to believe that Harrison will lead the Cardinals in targets as soon as this season. He is one of the best vertical threats in the draft and will fit perfectly in Drew Petzing’s offensive system. The system is predicated on establishing the rushing attack and then challenging the defenses vertically with play action. Kyler Murray looked more comfortable in the offense down the season's stretch, but the missing ingredient was a player like Harrison who can challenge the defense vertically. Now they have that. Pair him with McBride, and this could be one of the most underrated offenses in the league moving forward. With this landing spot, he should step in and lead all rookies in targets, and fantasy points should follow.
1.02 Trade Value (12 Team SF/TE Premium 1.75)
1.02 for Jalen Hurts
1.02/2.10 for Breece Hall
1.02/2.01 for Bijan Robinson
Michael Pittman/1.02 for Justin Herbert
1.02 for Tank Dell/Puka Nacua
1.03 - Jayden Daniels - Washington Commanders
Daniels lands in an interesting situation in Washington. The team aced the draft, putting pieces around him that could help him succeed, but the offensive line is still a work in progress. Daniels has a high rushing floor and joins Kliff Kingsbury, the offensive mind behind the multiple successful years Kyler Murray had in Arizona to start his career. Daniels should play very quickly, and the only thing preventing him from scoring a ton of fantasy points is durability, something most analysts are concerned about, considering his smaller frame. But the Commanders have done a great job of building weapons around him. They added running back Austin Ekeler in free agency, receiver Luke McCaffrey, and tight end Ben Sinnot in the draft. Those weapons will be added to Terry McLaurin, Brian Robinson, Chris Rodriguez Jr., and Jahan Dotson, which makes this one of the more underrated offenses in the NFL. The real question in the long term will be with this offensive line. They added guard Nick Allegretti in free agency and center Tyler Biadasz, but those are more rotational pieces rather than long-term starters. They will need their offensive line to develop if they plan on protecting Daniels, who cannot afford to take many hits.
1.03 Trade Value (12 Team SF/TE Premium 1.75)
1.03 for Christian McCaffrey
1.03/2026 1st for Jordan Love
1.03 for 1.04/Terry McLaurin
1.03/3.03 for 1.05/David Njoku
1.03 for Kenneth Walker
1.04 - Malik Nabers - New York Giants
Nabers finds himself in a position to be the #1 target earner on his new roster. The Giants’ best playmakers on the depth chart are Wan’Dale Robinson, Jalin Hyatt, Darius Slayton, Isaiah Hodgins, and Darren Waller. According to reports, Waller is contemplating retirement, but Nabers is the clear-cut number-one option on the roster even if he returns. This roster also lost Saquon Barkley and will need to fill his targets. Nabers fits head coach Brian Daboll’s system and should give him the Stefon Diggs treatment that saw Diggs turn into a top-5 fantasy option in Buffalo. The issue for Nabers is the lackluster quarterback play that the Giants have. Daniel Jones is coming off an ACL injury and has never shown to be a competent passer. Drew Lock is his backup, and while he’s never reached his full potential, Lock will pepper Nabers with targets if allowed to start. Nabers has gone top-5 in every rookie draft this off-season, and you’re betting his talent will overcome the quarterback situation. Don’t overthink his spot bet on the offense and his talent.
1.04 Trade Value (12 Team SF/TE Premium 1.75)
1.04/2.06 for DeVonta Smith/2025 1st
1.04/3.09 for De’Von Achane
1.04 for Kyren Williams/Michael Pittman
1.04 for Jaylen Waddle
Pat Freiermuth/1.04 for Travis Kelce/1.08
1.05 - J.J. McCarthy - Minnesota Vikings
The Vikings are the perfect scenario for McCarthy, as he lands in a spot most analysts preferred in the pre-draft process. Kevin O'Connell's offense is not dissimilar to McCarthy's college offense, and the offense with Justin Jefferson, Jordan Addison, and T.J. Hockenson will highlight his strengths. While McCarthy may sit and learn behind Sam Darnold early in 2024, he now possesses immense upside and should be viewed as a top-15 dynasty quarterback moving forward.
1.05 Trade Value (12 Team SF/TE Premium 1.75)
1.05/1.11 for Anthony Richardson
1.05/Jaxon Smith-Njigba for A.J. Brown
1.05/2.05 for 1.07/1.10
1.05 for Drake London
Jared Goff/Jaxon Smith-Njigba/1.05 for Josh Allen
1.06 - Rome Odunze - Chicago Bears
Odunze’s range of outcomes is across the board for the 2024 season. The Bears have a plethora of weapons, including D.J. Moore, Keenan Allen, and Cole Kmet. There are not enough targets to support all of the weapons Chicago has. Shane Waldron is coming over from Seattle, where he had DK Metcalf, Tyler Lockett, and Jaxon Smith-NJigba last season, and Smith-Njigba struggled to break out behind two veteran receivers. While it’s not a perfect comparison since JSN was coming off a pre-season wrist surgery that hindered his development in camp, there is reason to believe Odunze will struggle to be a relevant fantasy producer early in the year. Taking Odunze at 1.06 means you are possibly waiting for half a season and are comfortable with that. Odunze could see a significant value and production bump if either Allen or Moore misses time. Being tied to Caleb Williams long-term insulates his value moving forward, and being the #2 option on the depth chart after Allen moves on as early as the 2025 season is a perfect role fit for the former Husky.
1.06 Trade Value (12 Team SF/TE Premium 1.75)
1.06 for Jonathan Taylor
1.06 for Devin Singletary/1.08
1.06/4.01 for Luke Musgrave/1.09
1.06/Antonio Gibson for Brandon Aiyuk
1.06 for Jared Goff/2.12
1.07 - Drake Maye - New England Patriots
Many will look at Maye’s landing spot and scoff, and justifiably so. The Patriots lack proper weapons to support a young quarterback. Still, they invested their high-second-pick in Ja’Lynn Polk, a big, reliable ball-winner who is quarterback-friendly and will likely assume the position as Maye’s favorite target. The offensive line improved this offseason, giving Maye a more feasible chance to stand tall and deliver footballs on time. Maye is a big-armed guy who will operate a West Coast system under Alex Van Pelt, meaning we could see tempered fantasy output should Maye start early. However, his talent should shine throughout the season and is a value at his current ADP.
1.07 Trade Value (12 Team SF/TE Premium 1.75)
1.07 for Kyren Williams
1.07/2024 2nd for A.J. Brown
1.07 for Najee Harris
Will Levis/DeAndre Hopkins/1.05/1.07 for Justin Jefferson/Rashee Rice
1.07 for Alvin Kamara
1.08 - Brock Bowers - Las Vegas Raiders
Bowers heading to Las Vegas was one of the bigger surprises of the draft, but it makes sense based on their offensive production last season. The Raiders offense was one of the worst in the league in points per game and yards per game. Part of the problem was their porous quarterback play, which they've yet to address entirely, but Gardner Minshew can be serviceable for fantasy purposes. The key to Bowers' outlook is offensive coordinator Luke Getsy. Getsy’s offense will highlight the tight end position and he turned Cole Kmet into one of the better tight ends in the league. The expectation should be that Michael Mayer will turn into more of an inline blocking tight end while Bowers is used in the slot and as their WR2 option. In the long term, once Davante Adams leaves, Bowers could be their #1 option. Don’t overvalue the spot draft the talent.
1.08 Trade Value (12 Team SF/TE Premium 1.75)
1.08 for Marquise Brown/2.10
1.08 for Josh Downs/1.12/2.12
1.08 for Isiah Pacheco/2025 1st
Christian Kirk/1.08 for Jerry Jeudy/1.07
1.08 for Jaxon Smith-Njigba/3.03
1.09 - Ladd McConkey - LA Chargers
The Chargers needed to add to their receiver room in the draft, and they set their sights on McConkey after taking tackle Joe Alt with their first-round pick. The Chargers are a fantastic fit for McConkey. He should be Justin Herbert’s go-to guy in the offense, and his ability to be dynamic after the catch threat should allow him to thrive in PPR leagues. His intelligence should be utilized against the new trend of NFL defenses playing zone to minimize the damage done by star quarterbacks across the league, and he should be able to pick apart open zones. His speed will also allow him to take the top of defenses, and he could turn into Herbert’s primary option as soon as this season.
1.09 Trade Value (12 Team SF/TE Premium 1.75)
Jakobi Meyers/1.09 for Brandon Aiyuk
1.09 for Bryce Young/2025 2nd
1.09 for De’Von Achane/3.01
Tucker Kraft/1.09 for Kyle Pitts
1.09 for Nico Collins
1.10 - Xavier Worthy - Kansas City Chiefs
Of all the scenarios to play out in the draft, Worthy being selected by the Chiefs was one of the best things that could happen for his value. The Chiefs offense is a perfect landing spot for Worthy. Patrick Mahomes is the primary reason, but Andy Reid’s creativity and his ability to get Worthy in space should also allow Worthy to rack up the production. There is ample reason for excitement, and now that Rashee Rice has had legal issues all off-season, it looks like Worthy’s role could be expanded heading into the season. The one area of Worthy’s game that isn't being talked about enough is his scheme versatility. Worthy can play every position on the field and is just as effective in the slot as he is out wide. Pair that versatility with the NFL’s best quarterback and play-caller, and it’s hard not to imagine that he hits his ceiling as a fantasy asset.
1.10 Trade Value (12 Team SF/TE Premium 1.75)
1.10 for Saquon Barkley/2.12
1.10 for Tank Dell
1.10/1.11 for 1.06/2.06
Joe Mixon/1.10 for Dallas Goedert/1.12
Courtland Sutton/1.10 for 2025 1st
1.11 - Brian Thomas Jr. - Jacksonville Jaguars
Similar to Worthy and McConkey, Thomas landed in a fantastic spot. Landing in Jacksonville pairs him with Trevor Lawrence, and for the first time in his career, the Jaguars have added a receiver that fits Lawrence’s skillset. Thomas will give Lawrence a weapon that he can throw it up to in critical situations and gives him one of these first big-bodied redzone threats of his NFL career. His early production will most likely be boom or bust, but based on the receiver room, he could become Lawrence’s go-to receiver for most of his career. That’s incredible value at the back end of the first.
1.11 Trade Value (12 Team SF/TE Premium 1.75)
1.11/T.J. Hockenson for Puka Nacua/Michael Mayer
1.11 for Michael Pittman
1.11/2.08 for Travis Etienne/3.09
1.11/2.11 for Rashee Rice/2.05
1.11 for Rachaad White
1.12 - Keon Coleman - Buffalo Bills
Coleman is the ultimate enigma in this draft class. While his athletic profile was hit by him running a 4.61 40-yard dash and struggling at the NFL combine, he was selected by a team with Josh Allen as their quarterback and a serious need for wide receiver help. There will be comparisons made to Gabe Davis, but let’s clarify: Coleman is a much better player and prospect than Davis ever was. There is an opportunity for Coleman to become Allen’s primary option in this offense early, and they will likely only have to compete with Dalton Kincaid as the #1 target earner. Based on his ADP, he’s worth a flyer, especially if you are a contender looking to add immediate production to your roster.
1.12 Trade Value (12 Team SF/TE Premium 1.75)
1.12/4.12 for Joe Mixon
Jordan Love/1.12 for Jalen Hurts
1.12 for Baker Mayfield
1.12/3.12 for Christian Kirk
1.12 for Matthew Stafford
Xavier Worthy Vs. Brian Thomas Jr.
J.J. McCarthy Vs. Drake Maye
Trey Benson Vs. Jonathan Brooks
2nd Round Takeaways
The second round is the land of the running backs. In this mock, it went pretty chalk with Trey Benson, Jonathon Brooks, Blake Corum, and MarShawn Lloyd all being selected in the second round. Only Jaylen Wright fell outside into the third.
We are seeing Trey Benson and Jonathon Brooks selected around their current ADP, and they are clearly in a tier of their own. We broke that decision down on our YouTube channel, which you can find above.
The other draft decision that we see a ton of is between quarterbacks. Bo Nix versus Michael Penix Jr. in superflex leagues is a decision many managers face in the second round. How I look at this battle comes down to what your dynasty roster needs. If you are looking for an immediate stopgap on a contending team, there is an upside to picking Nix. Sean Payton made it clear that Nix was their guy, and his arrogance to make the pick work matters. We can see Nix play immediately, and the production will be there. While others worry about Denver's weapons, I think they are underrated, and Nix is a perfect complement to Payton’s system. He knows how to get the football out quickly, is efficient, and has a rushing upside. If things fall right for him, he can be a solid QB2 this year and next.
At face value, the Falcons were a tough spot for Penix and his fantasy value. He will likely be sitting behind Kirk Cousins for at least two years or three before he gets on the field, barring an injury. While it’s entirely possible Cousins isn't the same quarterback coming off an Achilles injury at 36, the Falcons invested 100 million dollars guaranteed in the veteran, and there’s virtually no chance Penix wins the job over him.
From a fantasy value perspective, the Falcons have weapons in Bijan Robinson, Drake London, and Kyle Pitts, but those weapons won't matter if he’s not on the field. If you’re taking Penix, it’s a long-value play that doesn’t make much sense unless you think Cousins isn’t the same quarterback.
At cost, I’d instead take Nix for immediate production or draft another player who can have more success this season. If you want Penix, the most likely play is to target him next off-season. His value will dip, especially if Cousins is playing well and managers determine it’s time to pivot off of him, especially if they are contenders mid-year looking to add veteran production. That will be the time to capitalize on Penix in Dynasty, just not now in rookie drafts.
Player Spotlight - Ja’Lynn Polk - New England Patriots
Polk remains one of the more undervalued assets of this receiving class. He’s one of the more competitive receivers in the class and as competitive as they come. He has a large catch radius, and his ability to win vertically will pair well with new quarterback Drake Maye. Maye tends to struggle with accuracy, and Polk will allow him to miss his target but still be effective in the passing game. This is one of the more underrated pairings in the class. The Patriots need offensive firepower, and Polk will provide that for this offense. The regime placed importance on toughness and high character, which Polk possesses. Many will look at the Patriots' lack of success in drafting the receiver position and dismiss this landing spot entirely, but that would be a mistake. Polk is one of those prospects who could be in the league for a very long time and be a PPR value throughout his career.
2024 2nd Values (12 Team SF/TE Premium 1.75)
Players
Early 2nd
Stefon Diggs
Terry McLaurin
Cooper Kupp
D’Andre Swift
Mid 2nd
Christian Kirk
Zamir White
Christian Watson
Marquise Brown
Late 2nd
Nick Chubb
Jahan Dotson
Dalton Schultz
Aaron Jones
Trades
2.01 for Gardner Minshew/2.05
2.02 for George Kittle
2.02/2.03 for Kyren Williams
ARSB/2.06 for Geno Smith/Garrett Wilson
2.07 for Kendre Miller
3rd/4th Round Takeaways
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