Before diving in, I want to be completely transparent. I miss on a lot of my bets. Since the NFL season started, I’ve won just 14, lost 59, and cashed out on 22 (most of which I would have won). The context: I almost exclusively parlay my picks. I’m a low-stakes bettor, with my unit steadying at $5.00. Despite all this, my return on investment is 57.74%, and I’m up 58.6u. I’ve hit on 50% of NFL spread bets. I’ve hit on 75% of over/under bets. I don’t say any of this to brag — I miss on a lot of my bets — but rather to explain why I’ve transitioned my weekly game preview section in The Weekly Gameplan to this format.
I’ve exclusively been using FanDuel Sportsbook this season. If you want to sign up, use my referral code. Please bet responsibly.
Los Angeles Rams (-3) vs. Jacksonville Jaguars
What I’m Betting:
JAX Moneyline (+138)
Under 44.5 (-108)
Davante Adams 70+ Receiving Yards (-210)
This game is the London finale, and the Rams chose a late departure for overseas. 60% of the money is on the Jaguars to cover (fade the public), and their performance last week justifies some doubt. Still, with Puka Nacua’s injury and the Rams’ strange decision to practice in Baltimore all week before flying to London on Friday night, I’ll take a sloppy, gritty win from the Jaguars.
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