Week 10 was another solid week. We finished 5-3 across game picks, totals, and player props, pushing the season record to 59-31 overall.
That puts us at 65.6% on the season. At this point, the biggest thing is consistency. We have stacked back-to-back 5-3 weeks, and the process has stayed the same the entire way. The market is sharper, injuries matter more, and the margins are getting tighter every week. That just means we have to stay disciplined, avoid forcing plays, and trust the spots we like.
Five Best Bets ATS
Auburn -2.5 at Mississippi State
I’m laying the short number with Auburn here. Byrum Brown gives them the clear quarterback edge, and we just saw what that can look like when he creates with both his arm and legs. He accounted for 300 total yards against Arkansas, and that kind of mobility matters in a game where Auburn should be able to stay balanced.
Mississippi State’s offense has really fallen off without Kamario Taylor, and that is the biggest thing for me. The Bulldogs have struggled to score lately, while Auburn has already shown it can win tight games and execute late.
At -2.5, I’m basically asking Auburn to win by a field goal. With the better quarterback, the better late-game track record, and a reliable kicker in Alex McPherson, I think they get there.
Best Bet: Auburn -2.5
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