What Blue Chip ADP Is Telling Us About the Current Devy Market
Blue Chip’s growing draft community is giving us an early look at where players are being valued, where the market may be overreacting, and where Devy managers can still find real value.
One of the biggest challenges in devy has always been understanding where the market truly stands. Rankings can show us how one analyst or website views a player, but ADP gives us something different. It shows us what managers are willing to do when they are on the clock and have to make a real decision.
For years, the devy community has not had a reliable, centralized ADP database. Most managers have built their understanding of the market through whichever rankings site, podcast, or content platform they subscribe to. That has created major differences in player values from league to league and has kept market inefficiencies relatively high.
The closest thing the format previously had may have been the old Devy Watch website, but that platform is no longer around. Since then, devy managers have largely been left to piece together the market on their own.
That is what makes the current ADP data from Blue Chip so interesting.
The community is actively using the platform to draft, which gives us an opportunity to study real selections rather than relying only on rankings or individual opinions. As more drafts are completed, we can begin to see where the market agrees, where it may be getting too aggressive, and where managers can still find unique buying opportunities.
This article is not about treating ADP as a perfect ranking system. It is about using the information to better understand the current devy market. By studying where players are being selected, we can identify values, question inflated prices, and uncover opportunities that may not be obvious at first glance.
You can check out Blue Chip and start drafting here:
Round 1
1.01 Jeremiah Smith, WR, Ohio State
1.02 Malachi Toney, WR, Miami
1.03 Arch Manning, QB, Texas
1.04 Cam Coleman, WR, Texas
1.05 Dakorien Moore, WR, Oregon
1.06 Bo Jackson, RB, Ohio State
1.07 Ahmad Hardy, RB, Missouri
1.08 Dante Moore, QB, Oregon
1.09 Kewan Lacy, RB, Ole Miss
1.10 Bryant Wesco Jr., WR, Clemson
1.11 Ezavier Crowell, RB, Alabama
1.12 Chris Henry Jr., WR, Ohio State
Best Value: Dante Moore, QB, Oregon
It is hard to find a true value in the first round, but Moore at 1.08 stands out to me. There is a legitimate chance he ends up as the QB1 in the 2027 NFL Draft, which makes this price feel more than reasonable. Moore threw for 3,565 yards, 30 touchdowns, and 10 interceptions while completing 71.8% of his passes in 2025. He is a calm and polished pocket passer with a quick release, excellent touch, and the ability to attack every level of the field. He also does a good job diagnosing pressure before the snap and can create accurate throws when forced off his spot. The biggest concern is how his mechanics and decision-making hold up when pressure gets to him quickly. He is also not going to add much as a runner, and his arm strength is good rather than elite. Still, Moore could have entered the NFL Draft and received top-five consideration. Returning to Oregon gives him another year to improve those areas on a loaded roster, and the upside at 1.08 is too good to pass up.
Biggest Reach: Ezavier Crowell, RB, Alabama
I am nitpicking here because I understand the upside with Crowell, but if I had to identify one reach in the first round, it would be him. Crowell is a former five-star recruit who rushed for more than 2,000 yards and scored 28 touchdowns during his final high school season, so the talent is not the issue. Alabama also has an open backfield after struggling to run the ball last year, which gives him a path to early touches. My concern is that we are paying a premium before we have seen him play a college snap. Alabama’s offensive line has not been dominant in the run game recently, the offense finished near the bottom of the SEC in rushing production last season, and Crowell is already dealing with a spring injury. I also prefer Savion Hiter as a prospect and would have taken him ahead of Crowell. Crowell could absolutely make this look wrong, but taking him this early requires a lot to go right immediately.
Most Interesting Pick: Cam Coleman, WR, Texas
Coleman is a great selection at 1.04, but as we discussed during our 2027 rankings show, there is still a lot of projection built into his current value. Coleman has already produced 93 receptions for 1,306 yards and 13 touchdowns through two seasons, and he did that while dealing with constant instability at quarterback at Auburn. The physical talent is obvious. He has the size, body control, ball-tracking ability, and speed to create explosive plays and win in contested situations. He can make difficult catches look routine and has the movement skills to create yards after the catch. The consistency still needs to improve, especially with drops and disappearing for stretches, but the move to Texas gives him a much better environment. He now gets to play with Arch Manning in a loaded offense alongside Ryan Wingo. Coleman has the talent to become a first-round NFL Draft pick, but this selection is betting that the production finally catches up to the traits.
Round 2
2.01 Nick Marsh, WR, Indiana
2.02 Jadan Baugh, RB, Florida
2.03 Julian Sayin, QB, Ohio State
2.04 Bryce Underwood, QB, Michigan
2.05 Ryan Williams, WR, Alabama
2.06 Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele, QB, California
2.07 Justice Haynes, RB, Georgia Tech
2.08 Andrew Marsh, WR, Michigan
2.09 Dallas Wilson, WR, Florida
2.10 Tristen Keys, WR, Tennessee
2.11 Savion Hiter, RB, Michigan
2.12 Darian Mensah, QB, Miami
Best Value: Savion Hiter, RB, Michigan
Hiter should be the first running back selected from the 2027 class, and getting him at 2.07 feels like one of the best values in the draft. I view him as a potential first-round NFL Draft pick and one of the best running back prospects we have seen in recent years. Hiter arrived at Michigan as the No. 1 running back and No. 12 overall player in the 2026 recruiting class, and he should earn meaningful snaps immediately behind Jordan Marshall. Marshall was excellent last season, rushing for 932 yards and 10 touchdowns, but he also dealt with injuries down the stretch. Even if Marshall stays healthy, Michigan has consistently shown that it can support two productive backs. Donovan Edwards recorded 128 carries as the RB2 in 2024, while Marshall received 150 carries in that role last season before taking over for Justice Haynes. Hiter is talented enough to force his way onto the field early, and this backfield could wear teams down as the season progresses. I know it is an aggressive comparison, but Hiter has the type of complete profile that reminds me of Bijan Robinson at the same stage.
Biggest Reach: Bryce Underwood, QB, Michigan
Underwood is still being drafted too high for me because I have real concerns about where he is as a quarterback. The physical tools are obvious. He has elite size, a powerful arm, and the athleticism to create outside the structure of the offense. The issue is that his freshman season exposed several areas that still need significant development. Underwood completed just 60.3% of his passes with 11 touchdowns and nine interceptions, and his footwork, pocket mechanics, and decision-making were inconsistent throughout the year. He frequently threw off his back foot, struggled to read the middle of the field, and made too many risky decisions when the first option was not available. Michigan’s previous staff did not do him many favors, and the receiving corps dropped 29 passes, so there is important context behind the numbers. The new coaching staff and offensive coordinator Jason Beck could help unlock him, but we did not see much evidence of a major leap during the spring. Underwood has the talent to eventually become a top quarterback, but taking him this early assumes the developmental jump is coming before he has actually shown it.
Most Interesting Pick: Darian Mensah, QB, Miami
This is the highest I have seen Mensah selected, and while I think it is probably too early, I love the aggressiveness of the pick. Mensah is coming off a huge 2025 season in which he threw for 3,973 yards, 34 touchdowns, and only six interceptions while leading Duke to an ACC championship. He now moves to Miami and enters one of the best situations in college football. The Hurricanes have helped transfer quarterbacks improve their NFL Draft stock in recent years, and Mensah will be reunited with former Duke receivers Malachi Toney and Cooper Barkate. That familiarity should make the transition easier, while Mark Fletcher Jr. gives Miami enough balance to prevent defenses from focusing entirely on the passing game. Mensah is calm against pressure, protects the football, and consistently creates explosive plays downfield. There are still questions about his true accuracy on deeper throws, and some of his production was helped by receivers winning contested situations. Still, he has a legitimate opportunity to become a first-round pick in the 2027 NFL Draft, and this selection is betting on that rise before the rest of the market fully catches up.
Round 3
3.01 Isaac Brown, RB, Louisville
3.02 Caleb Hawkins, RB, Oklahoma State
3.03 Drew Mestemaker, QB, Oklahoma State
3.04 Trey’Dez Green, TE, LSU
3.05 Keelon Russell, QB, Alabama
3.06 Beau Sparks, WR, Texas State
3.07 Mario Craver, WR, Texas A&M
3.08 T.J. Moore, WR, Clemson
3.09 Wyatt Young, WR, Oklahoma State
3.10 Jared Curtis, QB, Vanderbilt
3.11 Ousmane Kromah, RB, Florida State
3.12 CJ Carr, QB, Notre Dame
Best Value: Keelon Russell, QB, Alabama
If Russell wins the starting job at Alabama, I think he could easily become a top-five pick in devy drafts next offseason. Russell only appeared in two games as a backup in 2025, but he completed 11 of 15 passes for 143 yards and two touchdowns while adding 17 yards on the ground. The sample is obviously small, but the talent is not difficult to see. He has a quick release, natural arm strength, and the ability to attack every area of the field. His mobility is what really separates him because he can extend plays, create outside the pocket, and turn broken situations into explosive gains. Russell also plays with good poise and has already shown that he is willing to stand in the pocket and deliver throws under pressure. He still needs to become more consistent with his footwork and avoid relying on his athleticism when the first read is not there, but that is normal for a young quarterback. He was one of the most decorated players in the 2025 recruiting class, and if he takes control of this offense, his value could rise very quickly.
Biggest Reach: Beau Sparks, WR, Texas State
Sparks is a good college football player, but this is way too early for me in devy. I get it with C2C or CFF but not this format. Sparks is coming off a huge 2025 season in which he caught 84 passes for 1,200 yards and 10 touchdowns, becoming the first Texas State receiver to top 1,000 yards during the program’s FBS era. He should remain highly productive in 2026 with Brad Jackson and Chris Dawn Jr. returning in what should be one of the more explosive offenses in the country. The problem is that we are drafting him like a premium long-term asset when most of his value is tied to immediate college production. He is already an older prospect, and I am not convinced his NFL ceiling is strong enough to justify taking him this high. Sparks can absolutely help a CFF roster next season, but there are younger players with stronger devy profiles and more long-term upside still available at this point in the draft.
Most Interesting Pick: Jared Curtis, QB, Vanderbilt
I am not sure I can get behind Curtis going ahead of Keisean Henderson, but this is still one of the most interesting picks in the round. Curtis is a five-star freshman with legitimate NFL size, a strong arm, and enough mobility to add value when plays break down. He finished his high school career with more than 9,500 passing yards and 2,100 rushing yards while leading Nashville Christian to consecutive state championships. The opportunity at Vanderbilt is also interesting because Diego Pavia is gone, and Curtis enrolled early with a real chance to compete for the starting job immediately. The upside is obvious, especially in Tim Beck’s offense, but there is some risk in the profile that makes me nervous. Curtis can trust his arm too much, and there are moments where his mechanics and decision-making remind me a little bit of Dylan Raiola. That does not mean he cannot become a high-level quarterback, but I would rather take Henderson’s overall profile and situation at this point.
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